In collaboration with Joan LaRovere and Sebastien Boyer
When discharged from hospital after an inpatient stay there is an 8 to 18% chance of readmission to the hospital for the same condition within 30-days. This is both clinically bad for the patient and expensive to the medical insurer. Readmission within 30 days of discharge represents a $41.3 billion dollar market and accounts for 11% of total hospital costs. Clinicians strive to avoid readmission for their patients and do their best to be certain that they are clinically ready for discharge but obviously this system is imperfect. Building a predictive model of 30-day readmissions to assist hospitals and clinicians could aid this process.
In this project we implement a topic modeling algorithm that we combine with several supervized learning algorithms to provide a predictor with an AUC of 0.7. We also perform a clustering analysis that provides an easy-to-interpret way to understand our results.
Research report available here.